Moore’s Law Marks 50 years

This Year Moore’s Law Marks 50 years. Gordon More , the co-founder of Intel made this Prediction in 1965, that the number of transistors will double every year, while the cost of production remains same.

Gordon More

Does this is an Observation or Law or Rule ?

            Does this as an end ?

                     Does Companies sustain without this ?

    Let us discuss.

1.           Observation or Law or Rule :  Law or Rule doesn't change but Observations can. From 1965 to 1975 the number of transistors doubled every year but  from 2008 it slowed down to around 2 to 3 years approximately. Even Gordon More didn't call it has a Law, he said that things changes exponentially.  So this is an Observation.

                                                                                   Shrinking Feature Size

2.         Will Moore’s Law has an Expiry Date : As per nature everything has an end, what about Moore’s law ? Does it has an end ? Then how companies sustain? Does a new technology has to be evolved or is there an alternative solution ? Researchers predicted that Transistor shrinkage can happen only up to 2021? What next ? Instead of segueing Transistors chip makers are coming up with 3D Transistors i.e. stacking Transistors in to Layers. There is a saying in real estate; when land get expensive, multi-storied buildings are the alternative solution.

   3D Architecture

                                                   Gordon More's Initial Sketch of his Observation

In my next blog I will come up with the Reasons why Moore’s Law need to end ? and the devil factors which is going to make it buried.I will also Discuss on 3D Architecture and its Market Trends in the following post.

Thanks for Reading and suggestions are Welcome ..